Seth Perlman
|
By AP
DES MOINES, Iowa — For months, Illinois
farmer David Kellerman held out hope for rain, even as the worst drought in
nearly 25 years spread across the country.
He finally gave up when the temperature hit
108 three days in a row. Corn won’t develop kernels if it gets too warm during
pollination, and Kellerman knew the empty cobs in the fields where he works
would never fill out. Just after the Fourth of July, he and the neighbor he
farms with took an extraordinary step: They cut down the entire crop and baled
the withered plants to use as hay for their cattle.
Almost a third of the nation’s corn crop has
been damaged by heat and drought, and a number of farmers in the hardest hit
areas of the Midwest have cut down their crops just midway through the growing
season. The USDA reports 18 states have been hurt by drought. But the nation
could still see one of the largest harvests in U.S. history, thanks to new
plant varieties developed to produce more corn per acre and better resist
drought.
Kellerman said he was surprised his corn
fared as well as it did, growing to a decent height even though there had been
less than an inch of rain since mid-April. The dirt in the area where he farms
near Du Bois, Ill., has the consistency of dust, but it wasn’t until the extreme
heat “fried” the plants, that he lost hope.
“Genetics are much better,” he said. “Corn
five years ago would never have lasted this long.”
Corn production has been improving steadily
for decades, the result of scientific advances going back to the introduction
of the first commercial hybrid in 1923. Genetic engineering accelerated the
process in recent years and allowed the development of some strains that borrow
DNA from other species for pest resistance.
Corn farmers expected this to be a record
year when they planted, sowing 96.4 million acres, the most since 1937. The
U.S. Department of Agriculture predicted they would get 166 bushels per acre.
But after months with little or no rain and
extreme heat in large portions of the Corn Belt, the USDA on Wednesday revised
that estimate, saying it now expects farmers to average just 146 bushels per
acre this year.
That would still be an improvement from a
decade ago, when the average was about 129 bushels. Agriculture Secretary Tom
Vilsack still expects the nation to produce the third-largest corn crop in
American history, even as he announced disaster-relief measures for farmers,
like Kellerman, who have lost everything.
“It is important to point out that improved
seed technology and improved efficiencies on the farm have made it a little bit
easier for some producers to get through a very, very difficult weather
stretch,” Vilsack said. “Our hope is rains come to the central part of the
United States soon to be able to salvage what can be salvaged.”
The drought stretches from parts of Ohio to
California. The historic drought that gripped Texas and other parts of the
Southwest last year was more severe, but this year’s dry spell is notable for
the sheer size of the affected land.
“To see something on this continental scale,
where we’re seeing such a large portion of the country in drought, you have to
go back to 1988,” said Brad Rippey, a USDA agricultural meteorologist.
That year, farmers saw corn yields, or the
amount produced per acre, drop by nearly a third.
This year’s loss, so far, is expected to be
half that — one reason why people like Bill Gates believe better crop
technology will be the key to feeding the world as the population grows and
climate changes.
Jeff Schussler, a senior research manager for
DuPont Pioneer, said the company’s studies show corn hybrids today can produce
50 percent more bushels of corn per inch of water than those of 50 years ago.
Working with genes that affect root and leaf development and plant
reproduction, scientists also have created much more stable corn plants that
can withstand a wider variety of climate conditions, he said.
“All these hybrids that have been produced in
the last few years are built for drought tolerance so we have a little more
hope that they will be able to withstand some of this heat, more so than they
would have say 10 years ago,” said Garry Niemeyer, who grows corn and soybeans
in Auburn, Ill., and is president of the National Corn Growers Association.
He said plants have been developed with a larger
root mass, which allows them to reach deeper for water and hold more in
reserve. Certain varieties also are capable of rolling up their leaves to slow
moisture loss.
“There’s a lot of technology that goes into
our corn crop,” Niemeyer said.
Still, it’s hard to say how the year will
turn out with about half of the growing season to go.
Corn plants today withstand drought better
than they did in 1988, but no variety exists that can produce significant
yields without rain for six weeks and sustained temperatures above 100 degrees,
said Tony Vyn, an agronomy professor at Purdue University.
“You get to the point where the water
shortage is so severe that technology is not going to guarantee yield, even
when you might have that expectation,” he said. “My experience thus far is that
drought-tolerant hybrids are no silver bullet.”
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