By Sarina Locke
China's revolution in agriculture has the
backing of $1 trillion for agricultural investment over the next five years
Its strategy is to subsidise large-scale
modern farms to feed its people, and make use of technology like animal
genetics to improve production.
Australia is reaping some of the rewards, but
could it be playing a bigger role?
So much focus has been on Australia's $47
billion mineral exports to China that agricultural trade barely rates a
mention.
Australian agricultural exports total $32
billion, of that 15 percent goes to China (ABARES 2010-2011).
But China has been on a drive to 80 per cent
self-sufficiency in agriculture for the past nine years.
It's not an easy task, feeding 22 per cent of
the world's population with just 7 per cent of the world's arable land.
Dairy expansion
One of the key expansion areas is huge dairy
sheds, as reported recently inThe Wall Street Journal.
"On this side we have 10,000 cows, on
the other side there's another 10,000 cows."
"Deng Jiu Qiang is the founder and
chairman of Modern Dairy, and this is one of his company's 15 farms, financed
by the US private equity firm KKR and other investors.
"It's modelled on American factory
farms, that Deng saw on a tour a few years ago."
A record migration of 100,000 dairy cattle
will board ships bound for China this year, from Australia, New Zealand and
Uruguay.
"Australia has an enviable reputation
and position in the world, given that we are able to provide consistently high
quality, safe and disease-free cattle herd, " says the group general
manager of Elders International Trading Tony Dage.
Increasing farm output is so important to
China, that the Government has set aside 6,000 billion yen, or $1 trillion, for
it over the next five years.
Those subsidies help underwrite the massive
growth in importing live animals: from hogs to hens and dairy heifers to beef
breeds.
As the largest supplier, Elders will buy $90
million worth of Australian dairy heifers to go into China this year.
Tony Dage says Elders can't get enough dairy
heifers from Australia.
"It's a bit of a struggle.
"When we talk about China specifically,
Elders International will supply about 30,000 head of cattle into China; about
30 per cent of the market.
"We're only able to do that because we
can source very good quality cattle from three procurement points: Victoria in
Australia, New Zealand and Uruguay.
Australian dairy farmers are busy rebuilding
their own herds, and can get better prices domestically for their heifers, so
Elders has to find the balance overseas.
Safe and healthy food
China's dairy production suffered badly with
the melamine contamination scare four years ago, where several babies died and
children were hospitalised from poisoning via baby formula.
Under pressure to keep prices down, Chinese
dairy companies added melamine to replace milk protein.
"Back in 2008 there was the the melamine
scare; since that time, China has been significantly more focussed on ensuring
that genetics, pedigree and quality of their domestic herd is at such a level
that they have certainty around food security.
"So the Government is providing
incentives... is encouraging external investments in some of this
infrastructure over the last four years."
No longer free range
China has 1.4 billion mouths to feed, growing
wealthier and demanding more protein - that has to be produced on a small piece
of land.
Australian dairy heifers are journeying from
pastures to life in a shed.
China's Modern Dairy is unapologetic.
"Applying Australia's pastoral grazing
model in China will get us nowhere, it's a dead-end.
"So I see the American factory farm
model as the way forward for China."
Chinese farm subsidies
So it's not just about producing the quantity
- but quality too.
Large scale farms need to be better prepared
for deadly epidemics, like foot-and-mouth disease and bird flu.
A company that consults the Chinese
Government and foreign agribusiness investors is Beijing Orient Agribusiness
Consultants.
"To deal with the issues like disease
control and hygiene, the Chinese government adopted many specific policies
aimed at supporting scaled animal farms, to promote animal farming industry and
no longer encourage household animal farms," says senior analyst Wang
Xiaoyue.
The subsidies equate to a $55,000 hand out
for a farm producing one million meat chickens a year, and $130,000 for a large
piggery.
Farms are regulated to continually increase
production.
"By Chinese standards, scaled animal
farms should reach a target each year.
"Piggeries have to produce over 50 live
pigs, broiler farms have to turn out more than 2,000 meat chickens and layer
farms have to house more than 500 egg producing hens.
"And beef and mutton farms have to turn
own over 10 cattle or 30 sheep in stock at any one time," says Wang
Xiaoyue.
China has only recently opened up to foreign
backers.
To give you an idea of the scale of that
investment, the likes of Thailand's CP food group has started building a $AU550
million pig breeding and slaughtering facility in Hubei to process a million
pigs a year.
CP has already made similar investments in
two other provinces, Shandong and Guangdong, where it produces 100 million
chickens a year.
Self-sufficiency goals
The head of food and agribusiness in Asia for
Rabobank John Baker says China aims to be 80 per cent self sufficient in all
agricultural commodities.
"China has different self sufficiency
goals for each sector.
"For grains, they have an ambition for
95 per cent self sufficiency, whereas in sugar they have a self sufficiency
ambition for 85 per cent.
Fertiliser they have an ambition for 100 per
cent, in fact they're a net exporter today of fertiliser products."
Shortage of experts
The limiting factor for Chinese agriculture
is a lack of technology - and funnily enough - people with agricultural
expertise.
One of those experts is Peter Batt, Professor
of Food and Agribusiness Marketing at Curtin University, Western Australia.
Peter Batt frequently visits Nanjing
Agriculture University to advise on agribusiness projects.
"Agriculture is on fire," he says
-but he concedes the process seems abhorrent to Western eyes.
"Farmers are basically taken off the
land, bulldozers move in, the landscape is changed.
"Flats are constructed into which the
farmers move.
"The farmers are given the land back,
importantly.
"The farmers become tenant farmers, what
they grow is determined and managed by the investment property.
"You've got vegetable production,
alongside animal production - you may have chickens, goats, rabbits. You'll
have an aquaculture park - fish or crawfish, fresh vegetables and fruits."
Professor Batt established a state of the
art, temperature controlled mushroom farm at Shandong.
"It was a case of saying suddenly to the
150-odd farmers that occupied the 40 hectares that I wanted that 'we're taking
it over, 25-year lease', and the next thing I know is I've got 150 farmers
working for me.
"The farmers were re-engaged at 350
yuan, 50 yuan more than they would have earned."
There's a downside to lending a hand and
creating success, and that is China can take over supplying Australia's
markets.
"Australia, WA has been a major supplier
of fresh vegetables into Singapore, Malaysia and Hong Kong.
"We've seen that market almost disappear
completely in the last 20 years, all because of China's investment in
horticulture," says Peter Batt.
"They came on strong, but like any new
country, initially the product wasn't too crash hot, but now it's as good as
anywhere in the world."
"Things like carrots, cauliflowers and
broccoli, and in many cases that's through having engaged joint ventures
through Australian and New Zealand companies."
Australia may be able to supply dairy
heifers, wheat, sugar and beef cattle - but what about livestock consultants
and managers of food processing?
John Baker of Rabobank says "One thing
I'd encourage everyone to do is get on a plane and see what's there.
"There is a lot of expertise in
Australia, that could be used."
The world is gearing up for the Chinese
agricultural revolution.
For the first time the International
Agribusiness and Food Safety investment Conference will be held in
China - in Shanghai city in June.
The Chinese Government knows it has a
delicate balance, to support intensive agriculture, and smallholder farmers -
or it will struggle to deal with the biggest human migration in history, from
the Chinese countryside to the bulging cities.
Fonterra's dairies in China
The world's largest milk exporter, Fonterra,
receives Chinese Government subsidies, to boost their dairy farms in China.
Fonterra has opened two large dairies
totalling 12,000 cows and has two more dairies in the pipeline.
It's playing a part in China's push to meet
milk consumption that's expected to double over the next ten years.
Fonterra's main business in China is, as the
largest importer of dairy products into China, principally from New Zealand and
also from Australia.
Phil Turner, president of Fonterra China,
told Sarina Locke that the opening of the dairies in China won't reduce the
demand of dairy products from Australia and New Zealand.
He says the subsidies are a small part of the
overall investment.
"Construction of a third farm in Yutian
County, (near Beijing) is underway and... we will be investing NZ $100 million
in a further two farms in the same province."
Overall Fonterra plans to produce up to one
billion litres of "high quality milk every year by 2020."
Fonterra was tied up with the contamination
scare of 2008, when a company it had shares in Sanlu, was found to be putting
melamine in dairy products.
Phil Turner says the industry and consumer
confidence in the sector has recovered slowly, helped by government regulations
and assistance to improve health and quality of Chinese dairies.
He says Australia and New Zealand will
continue to have a market in China for their products, but China hopes to be
more self sufficient in fresh milk and yoghurts.
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