Skopje. A new World Bank book on the impacts of climate change on agriculture in the Europe and Central Asia region indicates that projected changes in temperature and precipitation in the Republic of Macedonia are expected to increase the vulnerability of the country’s agriculture sector and rural population if no action is taken, Macedonian MIA news agency informed.
The book, Looking Beyond the Horizon: How Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation Responses Will Reshape Agriculture in Eastern Europe and Central Asia, offers new insights and adaptation options for the agricultural sector in Albania, Macedonia, Moldova, and Uzbekistan.
According to the book, temperatures in Macedonia are expected to increase by as much as 1.8o Celsius over the next 40 years – well above the increase of less than 0.5 o C observed in the country over the last 50 years. These rising temperatures, coupled with changes in rainfall patters across the country, are expected to severely impact agriculture production in the region – with projected temperature increases of as much as 4-5o C in summer, coupled reduced water availability during the key growing period of May-September.
Building on these projections, this book offers impact assessments of climate change on agricultural production in three agro-ecological zones (AEZs) of the country. Medium-impact climate modeling scenarios in this book indicate that projected shifts in crop yields in the country will vary by AEZ and crop. Crop production of commodities such as apples and grapes could potentially decline by as much as 45 percent and 32 percent, respectively. On the other hand, wheat yields – both rainfed and irrigated – are expected to increase across all the AEZs, potentially doubling in some areas.
The book, Looking Beyond the Horizon: How Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation Responses Will Reshape Agriculture in Eastern Europe and Central Asia, offers new insights and adaptation options for the agricultural sector in Albania, Macedonia, Moldova, and Uzbekistan.
According to the book, temperatures in Macedonia are expected to increase by as much as 1.8o Celsius over the next 40 years – well above the increase of less than 0.5 o C observed in the country over the last 50 years. These rising temperatures, coupled with changes in rainfall patters across the country, are expected to severely impact agriculture production in the region – with projected temperature increases of as much as 4-5o C in summer, coupled reduced water availability during the key growing period of May-September.
Building on these projections, this book offers impact assessments of climate change on agricultural production in three agro-ecological zones (AEZs) of the country. Medium-impact climate modeling scenarios in this book indicate that projected shifts in crop yields in the country will vary by AEZ and crop. Crop production of commodities such as apples and grapes could potentially decline by as much as 45 percent and 32 percent, respectively. On the other hand, wheat yields – both rainfed and irrigated – are expected to increase across all the AEZs, potentially doubling in some areas.
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